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Saturday, April 26, 2014

Infosys - My Take

For the year ended March 31, 2014, Infosys' net profit grew 13 percent to Rs 10,648 crore and revenues jumped 24.2 percent to Rs 50,133 crore compared to last year. Net profit in dollar terms rose 1.5 percent to USD 1,751 million and revenues jumped 11.5 percent to USD 8,249 million in the year ended March 2014 that was inline with what the management has guided on March 11. Consolidated earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) increased 0.7 percent quarter-on-quarter to Rs 3,281 crore and EBIT margin rose 46 basis points to 25.48 percent during January-March quarter.

Source : www.moneycontrol.com

My 2 Cents on the current valuations :


" The company has forecast revenue growth of 5.6% to 7.6% in rupee terms for FY 2015. "

The investors would be really pleased with 13% increase in net profits considering the last few years. The CAGR for the last 3 years is around 15% and Nasscom expects the software sector to grow around 15% for this year. It's currently trading at 17 times P/E based on TTM.

Even if the company turns around under the leadership of Mr.Narayanamurthy, i think a 15% growth rate would give an EPS of around 215 and PEG ratio of 1 gives a fair value of around Rs. 3200. So i believe the stock is fairly valued and should be added at lower levels unless there is huge change in the rupee post the election results.


EquityMaster View :

At the current price of Rs 3,174, the stock is trading at a price to earnings (P/E) multiple of about 17 times trailing 12 months earnings. We recommend investors to Buy the stock at current price from a perspective of 3 years. Our target price of Rs 4,736 implies average annual returns of 15% over this time period. However, we recommend that investors should not buy the stock if the stock price exceeds Rs 3,700.

Disclaimer : I don't own infosys.

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Olam to receive all-cash offer from Breedens Investments

Offer price at S$2.23 per share.
Breedens Investments Pte. Ltd. (Breedens) has announced that it intends to make an all-cash Voluntary Conditional General Offer (“Offer”) for all shares in Olam International Limited (Olam).
Breedens, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Singapore investment company Temasek Holdings (Private) Limited, also intends to make an offer for the outstanding convertible bonds and outstanding warrants issued by Olam.
Breedens leads a consortium which includes Aranda Investments Pte. Ltd. (Aranda), Olam founding family shareholders and 10 members of the Olam executive committee, including Olam CEO Sunny Verghese. Breedens and Aranda together hold the largest stake of 24.6% in Olam, followed by Olam founding family shareholders with the second largest stake of 20.2%. Together, the consortium owns a combined majority stake of 52.5% in Olam.
The Offer price of S$2.23 per share represents: a price which exceeds the highest transacted price in the 52 weeks preceding the Offer Announcement; a premium of 11.8% over the last traded price on the last full trading day immediately preceding the Offer Announcement; and 24.2%, 32.4% and 39.5% over the one-month, three-month and six-month VWAP respectively, preceding the Offer Announcement.
With the Offer, minority shareholders will have the flexibility to tender all, part or none of their Olam shares in acceptance of the Offer. By tendering part of their shares, minority shareholders can create a balance between monetisation and continued participation in Olam’s potential growth over the long term.
Through this Offer, Breedens wishes to provide Olam with a stronger long term shareholder base to support Olam’s strategy and growth plans over the medium to long term.
Mr David Heng, Director of Breedens, said, “Members of our consortium are all long term shareholders of Olam. We have invested in Olam over the years, and share a common investment philosophy to invest and build for the long term.” He added, “We believe a successful offer will provide Olam with a stronger and more stable shareholder base to support Olam’s strategy and business model for the long term.”
He further noted, “We prefer to keep Olam as a listed company, which will continue to be guided by its board and management team. However, we will reassess our position if the minimum public float requirements are not met at the close of the Offer.”
Olam founding family shareholders and Key Management are acting in concert with Breedens for this Offer.
The Olam founding family shareholders and Key Management have agreed not to dispose of their stakes without Breedens’ consent during the Offer period and six months thereafter. They have also given Breedens a pre-emption right to purchase their shares, subject to certain limited exceptions as specified in the consortium agreement. Olam founding family shareholders and three members of Key Management have agreed to tender a 5.6% shareholding interest in Olam in acceptance of the Offer.

Source : Yahoo.com

Friday, March 7, 2014

Why Critical Illness insurance is important?

  • Do you know Cancer is the No.1 killer in Singapore?
  • Do you know 1 in 4 Singaporeans die of Cancer?
  • Are you aware the cost of healthcare increase much more than the normal inflation?
What is Critical Illness Cover?
Critical Illness cover is a type of health insurance that pays out a tax-free lump sum if you are diagnosed with an illness that is deemed to be life-threatening under the terms of your policy.
This means that if you have critical illness cover in place and are diagnosed with one of the conditions, you will receive a lump sum payout from your insurer to maintain the same lifestyle during the period when you are undergoing treatment to cover the loss of income.
Please watch this Video on the importance of CI cover.

How much is an adequate cover to provide financial security for the family?

The primary purpose of any insurance policy is that it should be useful on major unforeseen circumstances. For eg, A whole life policy has huge advantages, but if the total coverage is going to be only $100,000, the benefit wouldn't provide enough financial security for the family. So it's important to cover with a pure term as a priority, if one cant afford whole life, at least till another income replacement starts with the family.

For Critical Illness cover, an adequate protection could be anywhere between 3-5 years of monthly expenses. Eg. If your monthly requirement is $5,000, to maintain the same lifestyle, an adequate cover for the sole bread winner would be $300,000 in coverage and $200,000 in case both work.

When is the good time to buy Critical Illness cover ?
Similar to any insurance plans, It's always better to start early at a young age when we are hale and healthy as it not only guarantees complete coverage, but also get the same at a much cheaper price. So start as soon as possible, especially before the health conditions change due to family history or otherwise.

I strongly recommend all parents to cover the kids at a young age.  How many parents are above 40 without any critical illness cover and find it extremely expensive to start cover at 45 and above? Kids need this at some point of time in their life and we could cover for $500,000 for just $5000 that too with a whole-life plan. 

What are the conditions covered ?

Please check the details of Critical Illness covered here
Are you keen for the family to maintain the same lifestyle irrespective of the situation?? If Yes, do give me a call at +65 8113 3272 or reach me at eshers@gmail.com

Monday, November 25, 2013

Have you made your SRS investments yet for the year?

Hello All,

It's that time of the year where we are busy finishing to clear the work for the remainder of the year and get ready for holidays. 

  • Would you prefer the investment tax rebates to fund your holidays?
  • Are you aware that Employment pass holders and Citizens and PRs could enjoy up to $7000 and $2500 in tax rebates respectively depending on the income?
  • Do you know if someone starts SRS at age 30, could get to $1M at retirement with the regular SRS contributions and investments making just 5% returns.
For details on Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) , please refer my earlier post here..

Features :
  • Tax rebates on SRS investments helps to maximize your investment returns.
  • Tax rebates provides huge margin of safety on your investments.
  • Phased withdrawal post-retirement could mean you could withdraw without paying any tax later..
  • Flexible Investment option.
  • Investment flexibility on different geographies and also complete list of stocks.
Act NOW! Make your investments before December and enjoy your free holiday..

Please help to forward it to your friends who might find this useful.. 
Regards,
Partha
(+65 81133272)

Monday, August 5, 2013

SRS Investments - Funds performance for the month of July

Hello,

It's back to bit of stability in the month of July after both the Equity and Bond markets lost heavily since Bernanke's comments in May.

Please find below the top performers for the month of July. For the complete list, please click on this link. (aia.com.sg/en/individuals/funds-information/investment-linked-plans/ilp-fund-tools/ilp_fund_quickrank/ilp_fund_quickrank


Inline image 1

Good luck for the rest of year.

Cheers

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Power of disciplined savings and compounding!


"Be decisive. A wrong decision is generally less disastrous than indecision" - Bernhard Langer.

How satisfied are you with your investment plan?

Does your plan take care of the medium term and long term requirements?

What are the consequences of you falling short of your needs at a later stage in life?

What if the long-term inflation is higher than your investment returns?

What if i told that with proper planning, you will only need to set aside half or even a third of what you would need to save ?

Target : $1Million at age 60.

Age Duration
Years
0% 4% 5% 6%
25 35 2,380 1,103 895 701
30 30 2,778 1,442 1,203 996
35 25 3,333 1,946 1,681 1,443
40 20 4,166 2,727 2,435 2,164
45 15 5,555 4,064 3,743 3,438
50 10 8,333 6,792 6,442 6,102

** - Returns above are probable returns for illustration purposes.

From the above table, you could see, you just need to set aside $700 a month if you start early and better manage your investments to make a Million Dollars at age 60. This works out to investment of only $294,000 but grows to $1Million because of disciplined savings, better money management and the power of compounding.

Target : $500 a month

Age Duration
Years
0% 4% 5% 6%
25 35 210,000 452,986 567,037 712,355
30 30 180,000 346,777 415,514 502,257
35 25 150,000 256,916 294,224 346,496
40 20 120,000 183,304 203,629 231,020
45 15 90,000 123,005 132,755 145,409
50 10 60,000 73,609 77,309 81,939

The table above explains the returns for a fixed amount of $500 instead of target of $1M in the first table.

Start early, Be disciplined, Actively manage money and let the power of compounding work in your favor.

“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it ... he who doesn't ... pays it.” ― Albert Einstein


Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Singapore Press Holdings (SPH) - A stock worth holding, Long term

Update : 26th July 2013.

The Share Transfer Books and Register of Members of the Company will be closed on 6 August 2013 for preparation of dividend warrants. Duly stamped and completed transfers received by our Share Transfer Office, Tricor Barbinder Share Registration Services, 80 Robinson Road #02-00 Singapore 068898, up to 5p.m. on 5 August 2013 will be registered to determine shareholders' entitlements to the special dividend. In respect of shares in securities accounts with The Central Depository (Pte) Limited ("CDP"), the said special dividend will be paid by the Company to CDP which will distribute the dividend to holders of the securities accounts.

Dividend Value : 0.18
Record Date : 05/08/2013
Date Paid/Payable : 16/08/2013

Source : SGX.

Have a good weekend.



The much awaited listing of the SPH(T39.SI) Reit is expected to happen by end of July. It's expected to offer a yield of 6%. SPH Shareholders will get a special dividend of 18cents from the capital raised with this IPO, this pushes the yield for this year closer to 10% this year. (24 cents regular plus 18 cents special dividend).

The stock has recovered from two weeks low of 4.12 to 4.32 at the open this morning on the back of this listing news. 

Look at the 5 years performance when the stock offered 10% yield the last time in 2009 :)

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=T39.SI&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=

Disclaimer : I currently own the stock 

Please find below the news article.

Source : Bloomberg


Singapore Press Holdings Ltd. (SPH), the newspaper publisher that owns the Paragon mall along the city’s shopping belt, is seeking to raise as much as S$504 million ($394 million) in an initial stock sale of its retail assets.
The real estate investment trust is offering 559.9 million shares at between 85 Singapore cents to 90 Singapore cents, according to a preliminary prospectus filed today with the city-state’s regulator. The offer includes an allotment of 251 million units to cornerstone investors including Great Eastern Life Assurance Co. and Morgan Stanley Investment Management Co., according to the document.
SPH REIT plans to offer a yield of as much as 6 percent based on fiscal 2014 projections for the two malls, which have a combined value of S$3.07 billion, it said. Singapore Press said in May it will hold about 70 percent of the REIT after it goes public, and the proceeds will fund the group’s growth and a special dividend.
“The manager will take an active role in managing and enhancing SPH REIT’s properties,” SPH REIT said in the prospectus, adding that it will “assess acquisition opportunities in line with SPH REIT’s investment objective.”
There is an over-allotment option of 56 million units, it said.